Bare Knuckles Ag ™

soybeans price outlook

Market reaction understated because China trade deal is underrated.

Background: Markets had nearly grown immune to reports of “progress” on ending the trade war with China because Beijing so regularly either denied any agreements had been reached or insisted what they had agreed to was “lost in translation” (overstated)…
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Pick one: Either USDA is too bearish or some 2020 crop futures too strong.

Background: I plugged Friday’s November WASDE numbers for 2019-20 and USDA’s recent initial “baseline” balance sheets for 2020-21 corn, wheat and soybeans into my WASDE Wizard ® forecasting model under 3 weather scenarios with interesting results. The next three tables…
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Friday WASDE hints trade spat “hangover”

Friday WASDE hints trade spat “hangover” to cost soy producers .68/bu. on 2019 crop. It was mostly a grim picture for the corn, wheat and soybean outlook in USDA’s first look at the supply/demand balance sheets for 2019 crops in…
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