Bare Knuckles Ag ™

corn yields

Why 2019-20 Could Unfold Like a Re-run of 1993-94 Bull Market in Corn

Pre-report trade estimates for corn in USDA’s ACREAGE report on Friday average just 86.7 million acres, down a whopping 6.1 million from March intentions and more than double the 3 million acre cut USDA already made in its June WASDE….
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USDA’s June WASDE Corn Price Forecast too S-T-I-N-G-Y by Historical Standards

Initially, the trade reaction to USDA’s June 11 WASDE balance sheet for corn was price friendly. Traders were surprised USDA cut the planted acreage estimate by 3 million from March Prospective Plantings this soon; not even waiting to see the…
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WASDE Wizard® Perspective on September WASDE Numbers

WASDE WIZARD ® Perspective on September WASDE Numbers: Why a second MFP payment to soybean producers will depend more on political calculations than actual economic impact of lost exports. For soybeans, WASDE changes make 2nd USDA grower payment unlikely. The…
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WASDE Wizard® Perspective on August WASDE Numbers

WASDE WIZARD ® Perspective on August WASDE Numbers Huge yields tanked futures; export outlook recovers some. WASDE Wizard® is 2-for-2 in post-release accuracy. Upon release of USDA’s June WASDE,  the price forecasting model I’ve dubbed my “WASDE Wizard®” said the…
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